Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003463 0.003862 0.004278 0.004743 0.005248 0.005778 0.006375
2024-10-20 0.002752 0.003301 0.003905 0.004616 0.005426 0.006317 0.007368
2024-10-27 0.002364 0.002991 0.003709 0.004585 0.005619 0.006792 0.008216
2024-11-03 0.002050 0.002718 0.003511 0.004509 0.005721 0.007132 0.008888
2024-11-10 0.001828 0.002529 0.003385 0.004494 0.005873 0.007516 0.009601
2024-11-17 0.001633 0.002350 0.003252 0.004450 0.005975 0.007828 0.010221
2024-11-24 0.001525 0.002273 0.003238 0.004546 0.006244 0.008342 0.011093
2024-12-01 0.001354 0.002094 0.003077 0.004439 0.006244 0.008512 0.011532
2024-12-08 0.001239 0.001984 0.002996 0.004430 0.006362 0.008827 0.012155
2024-12-15 0.001198 0.001973 0.003047 0.004594 0.006710 0.009442 0.013170
2024-12-22 0.001127 0.001913 0.003026 0.004656 0.006918 0.009876 0.013956
2024-12-29 0.001085 0.001892 0.003056 0.004787 0.007221 0.010439 0.014919
2025-01-05 0.001044 0.001873 0.003090 0.004929 0.007550 0.011052 0.015975
2025-01-12 0.000931 0.001731 0.002937 0.004796 0.007491 0.011142 0.016335
2025-01-19 0.000855 0.001643 0.002858 0.004765 0.007569 0.011415 0.016944
2025-01-26 0.000775 0.001542 0.002751 0.004686 0.007574 0.011585 0.017410
2025-02-02 0.000716 0.001472 0.002690 0.004671 0.007668 0.011876 0.018045
2025-02-09 0.000657 0.001396 0.002612 0.004626 0.007714 0.012099 0.018587
2025-02-16 0.000632 0.001378 0.002628 0.004725 0.007976 0.012630 0.019567
2025-02-23 0.000568 0.001285 0.002515 0.004614 0.007917 0.012701 0.019897
2025-03-02 0.000528 0.001232 0.002466 0.004604 0.008009 0.012987 0.020535
2025-03-09 0.000522 0.001244 0.002527 0.004774 0.008381 0.013688 0.021777
2025-03-16 0.000498 0.001220 0.002524 0.004837 0.008587 0.014148 0.022679